Friday, May 11, 2012

The things that gamblers say

It always amazes me how truly stupid gamblers can be.  Some of the things you here at a poker table or in a casino can be amazing.  For example, the other night I heard someone say that if you take the Aces out of the deck in Blackjack that it favors the player.  I tried to explain to this self proclaiming card counter why he is wrong and he just did not get it.  This is one reason that casinos should not fear card counters at the table.  Even the counters make big mistakes and hurt any chance of an edge they can get.

I also recently heard someone say that they thought the cash games in Las Vegas were tough at $2/5 and above.  Maybe when you are playing $5/10 and above there is a little truth to it but this person either doesn't know what a good game is or he just has not played enough in Vegas.  I have played in some incredibly soft, juicy $2/5 games in Las Vegas.  If you game select well you can find a good one for sure.

Yesterday when watching the Hawks and Celtics game it was amazing to me how many players at the poker table knew exactly what the teams should be doing strategically in the final moments of the game.  And then when the teams did something differently they would all say something like "What a stupid play," or "What are they thinking?"  Now I am sure all of us are guilty of this at one time or another while watching sports but it just amazes me sometimes how people with so little knowledge of a game think they know so much.  I guess the slobs at the poker table know more than the coaches and players who are paid millions?

I obviously don't know very much about basketball because I am on a little losing streak.  I have lost four out of five in the NBA.  I had a tough loss when the Jazz covered against the Spurs with two seconds left and then the other night I had the over in the Clippers Grizzlies game and the two teams proceeded to score about 40 points combined in the final 15 minutes to go under by a few buckets.  But that is the nature of the game in sports betting.  It is very streaky.  I have had some bad luck this year and some losing streaks but it seems like some of my best winning streaks followed some cold spells.  Tonight I am hoping to right the ship in the NBA.  I am on the Clippers + 2 against the Grizzlies.  The reason the Clips are two point dogs despite being at home is the injury status of Paul and Griffin.  But my study indicates to me that both of these guys will play.  The Clippers fans will be fired up and I think they have a good chance to close it out on their home floor.  And I don't see them losing by a lot.  So I like my bet there.  I am also trying to end a three game losing streak in baseball.  I am 15-17 on the year in MLB and down 1.5 units.  I am taking it slow and letting the season develop more and will increase my action when basketball ends.  But tonight I like the Giants and I am on them -116 against the D-backs.

Poker has been void of significant results lately.  Because of the move and some personal matters that I have been busy with I have not played a whole lot.  I have booked some small wins though and have not had any real losses.  I am hoping to get some good hours in at the table this weekend.

Disciplined Degenerate

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